1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:09,530 [Music] 2 00:00:19,109 --> 00:00:13,789 by some sort of serendipity or 3 00:00:21,359 --> 00:00:19,119 synchronicity what's been on my mind the 4 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:21,369 last year or two happens to fit 5 00:00:29,089 --> 00:00:24,610 perfectly into the theme of this 6 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:29,099 conference of challenging mainstream 7 00:00:37,170 --> 00:00:33,850 paradigms and my challenge is to the 8 00:00:42,690 --> 00:00:37,180 routine treatment of chronic diseases 9 00:00:47,279 --> 00:00:42,700 with drugs which focuses on symptoms 10 00:00:50,959 --> 00:00:47,289 instead of causes and it really reflects 11 00:00:54,619 --> 00:00:50,969 an unwitting unspoken implicit 12 00:01:00,540 --> 00:00:54,629 assumption that we can extend lifespan 13 00:01:02,389 --> 00:01:00,550 indefinitely by administering drugs so 14 00:01:05,550 --> 00:01:02,399 I've called this seeking immortality 15 00:01:11,370 --> 00:01:05,560 with a question mark not a cold and as 16 00:01:14,550 --> 00:01:11,380 in the as in the program and some of the 17 00:01:19,710 --> 00:01:14,560 statements I make may strike you as 18 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:19,720 maybe a bit excessive overblown in fact 19 00:01:28,100 --> 00:01:22,410 I'll be a bit disappointed if they don't 20 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:28,110 but everything I say is based on 21 00:01:42,859 --> 00:01:37,530 mainstream documentation and on my 22 00:01:47,510 --> 00:01:42,869 website there's a PDF you can download 23 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:47,520 what's wrong with with medicine that has 24 00:01:58,800 --> 00:01:52,410 dozens of books a number of articles 25 00:02:02,130 --> 00:01:58,810 some official reports all of which state 26 00:02:07,199 --> 00:02:02,140 or document what I'm about to tell you 27 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:07,209 and in fact I think this is more a 28 00:02:25,110 --> 00:02:21,119 when when we don't feel well it's for 29 00:02:28,559 --> 00:02:25,120 broadly one of two reasons either we've 30 00:02:32,479 --> 00:02:28,569 been attacked from outside in which case 31 00:02:36,949 --> 00:02:32,489 we talk about an infectious disease or 32 00:02:40,170 --> 00:02:36,959 there's some sort of malfunction inside 33 00:02:43,259 --> 00:02:40,180 ourselves there's a chronic disease like 34 00:02:47,850 --> 00:02:43,269 heart disease or cancer or arthritis 35 00:02:52,259 --> 00:02:47,860 that sort of thing those are two very 36 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:52,269 different ways of getting to feel ill so 37 00:03:00,839 --> 00:02:54,970 you might think that we ought to treat 38 00:03:05,670 --> 00:03:00,849 them differently but we don't current 39 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:05,680 practice is in both cases to attempt to 40 00:03:12,869 --> 00:03:08,530 treat them with drugs which are 41 00:03:21,210 --> 00:03:12,879 supposedly specific and do only what we 42 00:03:26,099 --> 00:03:21,220 want them to do when it in the case of 43 00:03:31,379 --> 00:03:26,109 an infectious disease we can identify a 44 00:03:35,809 --> 00:03:31,389 specific cause of illness not only that 45 00:03:38,039 --> 00:03:35,819 but bacteria and parasites have 46 00:03:42,750 --> 00:03:38,049 physiologies that are sufficiently 47 00:03:46,110 --> 00:03:42,760 different from our physiology that we 48 00:03:50,339 --> 00:03:46,120 can find we have found substances that 49 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:50,349 can kill them differentially kill them 50 00:03:59,610 --> 00:03:53,290 without killing us at least sufficiently 51 00:04:04,110 --> 00:03:59,620 differently and what's more to get over 52 00:04:07,819 --> 00:04:04,120 an infectious disease we usually have to 53 00:04:15,150 --> 00:04:07,829 take a drug for a limited period of time 54 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:15,160 by contrast groups in the case of the 55 00:04:22,770 --> 00:04:18,250 malfunction inside of chronic disease 56 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:22,780 there is no specific identifiable cause 57 00:04:30,660 --> 00:04:27,010 no single cause it's a 58 00:04:35,550 --> 00:04:30,670 systemic disturbance and the question is 59 00:04:39,060 --> 00:04:35,560 if you want to cure that it means 60 00:04:43,830 --> 00:04:39,070 restoring homeostasis which refers to 61 00:04:46,770 --> 00:04:43,840 the fact that our bodies manage to 62 00:04:49,980 --> 00:04:46,780 function in a stable way a reasonably 63 00:04:52,650 --> 00:04:49,990 stable way even though they're immensely 64 00:04:56,280 --> 00:04:52,660 complicated systems there are 65 00:04:59,640 --> 00:04:56,290 innumerable reactions going on all the 66 00:05:03,200 --> 00:04:59,650 time those reactions are switched on and 67 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:03,210 off by signals that go back and forth 68 00:05:11,010 --> 00:05:07,090 there's feedback all the time and it's 69 00:05:13,470 --> 00:05:11,020 an intensely complex system where it 70 00:05:16,590 --> 00:05:13,480 doesn't seem rational to think that when 71 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:16,600 you that you can fix something wrong 72 00:05:22,770 --> 00:05:19,330 with that system just by adding one 73 00:05:27,390 --> 00:05:22,780 substance what's more if it's a chronic 74 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:27,400 disease we are being administered drugs 75 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:34,330 for lifelong use and in that case our 76 00:05:41,190 --> 00:05:37,530 systems are also being affected by the 77 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:41,200 cumulative effects of the so called 78 00:05:48,780 --> 00:05:45,970 side effects now when I say that there's 79 00:05:56,730 --> 00:05:48,790 no specific identifiable cause of 80 00:06:02,340 --> 00:05:56,740 illness current theory is that cancer 81 00:06:05,610 --> 00:06:02,350 for example requires several steps to 82 00:06:08,940 --> 00:06:05,620 occur and no single one of those is 83 00:06:13,070 --> 00:06:08,950 decisive not a single one alone will 84 00:06:16,230 --> 00:06:13,080 cause the cancer as far as heart disease 85 00:06:19,530 --> 00:06:16,240 cardiovascular disease goes the 86 00:06:26,030 --> 00:06:19,540 Institute of Medicine mentions that 87 00:06:31,230 --> 00:06:26,040 there are 243 risk factors for that 88 00:06:37,380 --> 00:06:31,240 so there's obviously no way in which you 89 00:06:39,490 --> 00:06:37,390 can treat 243 different risks certainly 90 00:06:43,149 --> 00:06:39,500 not with drugs 91 00:06:45,830 --> 00:06:43,159 so having said that there's no single 92 00:06:48,980 --> 00:06:45,840 identifiable cause of chronic disease 93 00:06:53,950 --> 00:06:48,990 I'm going to tell you that there is a 94 00:07:02,960 --> 00:06:53,960 single clear cause of chronic disease 95 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:02,970 it's getting older if someone dies from 96 00:07:10,969 --> 00:07:08,849 heart disease from cancer what does the 97 00:07:14,149 --> 00:07:10,979 death certificate say what do we say 98 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:14,159 about it we say this person died from 99 00:07:27,050 --> 00:07:22,670 so the thought that we can prevent organ 100 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:27,060 failure or cancer amounts to saying that 101 00:07:35,290 --> 00:07:30,690 we can prevent aging and that's why I 102 00:07:38,059 --> 00:07:35,300 chose the title seeking immortality 103 00:07:42,230 --> 00:07:38,069 that's implicitly what we are doing 104 00:07:46,670 --> 00:07:42,240 without of course admitting it and one 105 00:07:50,269 --> 00:07:46,680 way of disguising that fact is to 106 00:07:58,040 --> 00:07:50,279 describe getting older as though it were 107 00:08:01,100 --> 00:07:58,050 an illness we use semantics normal 108 00:08:05,390 --> 00:08:01,110 changes with age are described as 109 00:08:09,290 --> 00:08:05,400 abnormal we don't talk about our hearts 110 00:08:12,830 --> 00:08:09,300 and arteries getting older we say we've 111 00:08:15,860 --> 00:08:12,840 got cardiovascular disease as though it 112 00:08:20,769 --> 00:08:15,870 were the same sort of thing as when we 113 00:08:25,899 --> 00:08:20,779 get the flu we talk about hypertension 114 00:08:29,659 --> 00:08:25,909 blood pressure too high pre hypertension 115 00:08:31,820 --> 00:08:29,669 you're not healed yet but you're going 116 00:08:34,750 --> 00:08:31,830 to be and I'm gonna say a lot more about 117 00:08:37,699 --> 00:08:34,760 blood pressure later we talk about 118 00:08:41,060 --> 00:08:37,709 pre-diabetes talked about high 119 00:08:43,219 --> 00:08:41,070 cholesterol and bad cholesterol when 120 00:08:46,430 --> 00:08:43,229 actually cholesterol is one of the 121 00:08:50,030 --> 00:08:46,440 substances our body makes because it 122 00:08:51,260 --> 00:08:50,040 needs the cholesterol the cholesterol is 123 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:51,270 part of 124 00:09:00,470 --> 00:08:56,450 all of the cell membranes we talk about 125 00:09:06,230 --> 00:09:00,480 dysfunctions clearly things all of these 126 00:09:08,890 --> 00:09:06,240 things happen normally with age but we 127 00:09:15,860 --> 00:09:08,900 described them as though they were 128 00:09:18,140 --> 00:09:15,870 abnormalities so what I've said so far 129 00:09:20,810 --> 00:09:18,150 is is really based on first principles 130 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:20,820 on first principles he wouldn't think 131 00:09:27,410 --> 00:09:23,850 that you could cure chronic diseases 132 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:27,420 with drugs but we've been doing it we've 133 00:09:33,350 --> 00:09:30,810 been trying it for decades so there 134 00:09:36,620 --> 00:09:33,360 ought to be some evidence as to whether 135 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:36,630 it works or not we've been taking blood 136 00:09:41,900 --> 00:09:39,210 pressure lowering medications and blood 137 00:09:45,740 --> 00:09:41,910 thinners and statins and the question is 138 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:45,750 have they improved the quality of life 139 00:09:53,030 --> 00:09:49,490 or have they extended useful lifespan 140 00:09:57,860 --> 00:09:53,040 how would you answer that question 141 00:10:01,420 --> 00:09:57,870 well you would have to take people pairs 142 00:10:04,370 --> 00:10:01,430 of people who have exactly the same 143 00:10:06,070 --> 00:10:04,380 condition and you would have to treat 144 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:06,080 one of them and leave the other one 145 00:10:11,510 --> 00:10:08,610 untreated and they would also have to be 146 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:11,520 matched for everything that could 147 00:10:20,740 --> 00:10:16,730 possibly be important like age sex 148 00:10:25,250 --> 00:10:20,750 genetic predisposition environment diet 149 00:10:30,350 --> 00:10:25,260 lifestyle it is impossible to do that 150 00:10:34,370 --> 00:10:30,360 sort of a clinical trial so what do we 151 00:10:37,580 --> 00:10:34,380 do we use so called biomarkers or 152 00:10:40,220 --> 00:10:37,590 surrogate markers we measure blood 153 00:10:43,970 --> 00:10:40,230 pressure we measure cholesterol level we 154 00:10:47,300 --> 00:10:43,980 measure blood sugar PSA and so on on the 155 00:10:51,110 --> 00:10:47,310 presumption that those things that we 156 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:51,120 can measure are proper measures of the 157 00:10:57,080 --> 00:10:53,850 disease that we are trying or the 158 00:11:02,240 --> 00:10:57,090 condition that we are attempting to to 159 00:11:03,410 --> 00:11:02,250 follow well are the surrogate markers 160 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:03,420 valid 161 00:11:09,650 --> 00:11:06,890 in order to find out whether any given 162 00:11:12,470 --> 00:11:09,660 surrogate marker is valid you would have 163 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:12,480 to do exactly the sort of impossible 164 00:11:24,380 --> 00:11:16,410 clinical trial as you would have needed 165 00:11:27,590 --> 00:11:24,390 to test a drug so these biomarkers blood 166 00:11:31,910 --> 00:11:27,600 pressure cholesterol level and so on had 167 00:11:35,110 --> 00:11:31,920 been chosen because they have been found 168 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:35,120 to be associated statistically 169 00:11:43,550 --> 00:11:39,450 correlated statistically with what we've 170 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:43,560 called the disease now a statistical 171 00:11:54,940 --> 00:11:45,810 correlation may not be valid in 172 00:11:58,400 --> 00:11:54,950 individual cases the overall mortality 173 00:12:04,790 --> 00:11:58,410 increases as blood pressure increases 174 00:12:08,270 --> 00:12:04,800 but given individuals may thrive on 175 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:08,280 blood pressure levels that are 50 176 00:12:14,290 --> 00:12:11,090 percent higher than the average the 177 00:12:18,170 --> 00:12:14,300 statistical correlation does not 178 00:12:21,260 --> 00:12:18,180 transfer over to any individual case but 179 00:12:24,380 --> 00:12:21,270 in any case all of these surrogate 180 00:12:29,570 --> 00:12:24,390 markers are based just on correlations 181 00:12:33,380 --> 00:12:29,580 and it's a fundamental fact of 182 00:12:38,300 --> 00:12:33,390 statistics and of common sense that 183 00:12:40,990 --> 00:12:38,310 correlation doesn't prove causation my 184 00:12:45,110 --> 00:12:41,000 favorite example of that comes from 185 00:12:48,410 --> 00:12:45,120 books 60 years ago by Darrell half how 186 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:48,420 to lie with statistics and he mentions 187 00:12:54,070 --> 00:12:51,450 the correlation between the price of 188 00:12:59,390 --> 00:12:54,080 ramen Cuba and the salaries of 189 00:13:02,180 --> 00:12:59,400 Protestant ministers in Connecticut the 190 00:13:04,790 --> 00:13:02,190 question is is it the fact that those 191 00:13:09,190 --> 00:13:04,800 ministers salaries were going up that 192 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:09,200 allowed Cuba to to ask more forum well 193 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:13,410 obviously not the fact is that prices 194 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:17,130 and salaries both increased with 195 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:20,130 inflation and so there was a correlation 196 00:13:29,420 --> 00:13:25,170 between those two things we tend to 197 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:29,430 believe that correlations show causes 198 00:13:36,560 --> 00:13:33,810 when it seems plausible but the evidence 199 00:13:42,830 --> 00:13:36,570 just the correlation doesn't prove the 200 00:13:46,690 --> 00:13:42,840 cause as we get older the incidence of 201 00:13:49,970 --> 00:13:46,700 cancer increases statistically speaking 202 00:13:52,220 --> 00:13:49,980 incidence of organ failures increases 203 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:52,230 the incidence of heart attacks and 204 00:14:00,500 --> 00:13:57,050 strokes increases hearing deteriorate 205 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:00,510 incidence of dementia increases blood 206 00:14:07,460 --> 00:14:04,610 pressure increases mortality increases 207 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:07,470 all those things correlate with one 208 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:12,090 another so does that mean that blood 209 00:14:19,210 --> 00:14:18,090 pressure causes cancer hearing loss the 210 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:19,220 main TIA 211 00:14:25,850 --> 00:14:22,890 they're just correlations but not 212 00:14:28,550 --> 00:14:25,860 everybody seems to understand that about 213 00:14:33,050 --> 00:14:28,560 six months ago there were some news 214 00:14:36,380 --> 00:14:33,060 items over about a research study which 215 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:36,390 had found a correlation between hearing 216 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:38,370 loss and de mentir 217 00:14:46,370 --> 00:14:42,210 and there was even speculation about why 218 00:14:51,470 --> 00:14:46,380 that might be as as it gets harder and 219 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:51,480 harder to hear you stress your brain and 220 00:15:00,740 --> 00:14:54,450 you drive yourself nuts trying to 221 00:15:04,610 --> 00:15:00,750 understand what's being said shortly 222 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:04,620 after that my local newspaper carried 223 00:15:12,710 --> 00:15:08,490 this full-page ad saying hearing loss 224 00:15:15,020 --> 00:15:12,720 and de mentir linked and of course they 225 00:15:17,810 --> 00:15:15,030 suggested that everyone should get their 226 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:17,820 hearing tested and if there was any 227 00:15:22,580 --> 00:15:19,890 deficiency there they should get a 228 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:22,590 hearing aid in order to stave off 229 00:15:33,780 --> 00:15:29,010 Alzheimer's disease that seems absurd 230 00:15:37,590 --> 00:15:33,790 but you see the evidence that high blood 231 00:15:41,790 --> 00:15:37,600 pressure causes cardiovascular disease 232 00:15:44,910 --> 00:15:41,800 is of exactly the same sort as the 233 00:15:47,610 --> 00:15:44,920 evidence that hearing loss causes demand 234 00:15:52,710 --> 00:15:47,620 here or that demand here causes hearing 235 00:15:58,470 --> 00:15:52,720 loss so the surrogate markers are simply 236 00:16:01,949 --> 00:15:58,480 not valid and I'm not the person who 237 00:16:04,829 --> 00:16:01,959 suggests that an Institute of Medicine 238 00:16:08,430 --> 00:16:04,839 report published in 2010 called the 239 00:16:13,010 --> 00:16:08,440 evaluation of biomarkers and surrogate 240 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:13,020 endpoints in chronic disease actually 241 00:16:22,530 --> 00:16:17,970 amounts to an attempt to advise how to 242 00:16:24,930 --> 00:16:22,540 minimize the damage from using surrogate 243 00:16:27,650 --> 00:16:24,940 markers and they mentioned some 244 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:27,660 surrogate markers that are not valid for 245 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:31,330 example in the case of cancers it turns 246 00:16:39,690 --> 00:16:35,410 out that the size of a tumor is not a 247 00:16:44,780 --> 00:16:39,700 valid measure that tells you about the 248 00:16:47,730 --> 00:16:44,790 prognosis of what is likely to happen in 249 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:47,740 cardiovascular disease believe it or not 250 00:16:54,990 --> 00:16:50,850 they the Institute of Medicine says 251 00:16:57,540 --> 00:16:55,000 blood pressure is not a valid marker of 252 00:17:00,810 --> 00:16:57,550 the progression of cardiovascular 253 00:17:03,390 --> 00:17:00,820 disease neither is cholesterol whether 254 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:03,400 it's total or the so called bad 255 00:17:09,660 --> 00:17:06,730 cholesterol or the ratio neither is the 256 00:17:15,020 --> 00:17:09,670 c-reactive protein which has been in 257 00:17:18,210 --> 00:17:15,030 fashion or another substance troponin 258 00:17:22,500 --> 00:17:18,220 Javan an EDL in the British Medical 259 00:17:26,490 --> 00:17:22,510 Journal last year talked about the true 260 00:17:29,190 --> 00:17:26,500 cost of using drugs to prevent disease 261 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:29,200 and they said flatly 262 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:33,610 there are no valid data on the 263 00:17:38,940 --> 00:17:37,770 effectiveness of statins 264 00:17:40,990 --> 00:17:38,950 antihypertensives 265 00:17:44,710 --> 00:17:41,000 and bisphosphonates 266 00:17:48,930 --> 00:17:44,720 be aimed at antihypertensives lower 267 00:17:54,540 --> 00:17:48,940 blood pressure bisphosphonates are what 268 00:17:59,740 --> 00:17:54,550 we get in order to stave off supposedly 269 00:18:02,980 --> 00:17:59,750 osteoporosis so I'm suggesting that the 270 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:02,990 drug based treatment of chronic ailments 271 00:18:09,700 --> 00:18:07,610 is a fundamentally misguided approach it 272 00:18:13,630 --> 00:18:09,710 treats aging as though it were an 273 00:18:18,220 --> 00:18:13,640 illness the illness is assessed by 274 00:18:21,870 --> 00:18:18,230 surrogate markers drugs are approved on 275 00:18:25,330 --> 00:18:21,880 the basis of how they affect the 276 00:18:29,140 --> 00:18:25,340 surrogate markers and then we add to 277 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:29,150 that the wrong presumption the drugs can 278 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:35,690 be specific there are many sins in the 279 00:18:43,510 --> 00:18:40,490 approval process of drugs one of them is 280 00:18:46,180 --> 00:18:43,520 that in order to get a drug approved all 281 00:18:50,020 --> 00:18:46,190 you have to do is to submit to the 282 00:18:53,650 --> 00:18:50,030 Federal Drug Administration the results 283 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:53,660 of two clinical trials which have lasted 284 00:18:59,860 --> 00:18:57,530 at least six months you don't have to 285 00:19:04,450 --> 00:18:59,870 tell them how many other trials you 286 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:04,460 carried out that accelerated approval 287 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:08,530 was brought in as a result of the panic 288 00:19:17,620 --> 00:19:14,330 over the AIDS epidemic when there was 289 00:19:21,460 --> 00:19:17,630 apparently no cure available but it has 290 00:19:24,450 --> 00:19:21,470 become routine one of the things that 291 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:24,460 was supposed to be part of accelerated 292 00:19:28,420 --> 00:19:27,650 approval was that after a drug had been 293 00:19:30,940 --> 00:19:28,430 approved 294 00:19:34,750 --> 00:19:30,950 there should be continual monitoring of 295 00:19:37,660 --> 00:19:34,760 what it actually did in practice but 296 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:37,670 there's been a thoroughgoing failure to 297 00:19:45,250 --> 00:19:41,890 do that and it turns out that about 298 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:45,260 three-quarters of all drugs approved in 299 00:19:54,070 --> 00:19:51,290 this way have no data from follow-up and 300 00:20:03,360 --> 00:19:54,080 in fact there is no system 301 00:20:12,070 --> 00:20:06,220 doctors individual physicians of course 302 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:12,080 are asked to report when they see that a 303 00:20:20,140 --> 00:20:17,530 particular drug has had a bad effect but 304 00:20:23,610 --> 00:20:20,150 individual doctors are given no 305 00:20:29,350 --> 00:20:23,620 guidelines for the various medications 306 00:20:31,330 --> 00:20:29,360 for what they should look for so you're 307 00:20:33,910 --> 00:20:31,340 a doctor you're treating someone for a 308 00:20:36,310 --> 00:20:33,920 particular condition you're using a drug 309 00:20:39,850 --> 00:20:36,320 that's been approved by the FDA 310 00:20:42,490 --> 00:20:39,860 you presume that it's working you find 311 00:20:44,740 --> 00:20:42,500 you you notice that the patient is not 312 00:20:48,460 --> 00:20:44,750 getting better maybe showing some other 313 00:20:51,340 --> 00:20:48,470 symptoms the most natural thing for you 314 00:20:54,610 --> 00:20:51,350 to conclude is the drug isn't really 315 00:20:58,000 --> 00:20:54,620 helping the illness is getting worse but 316 00:21:01,090 --> 00:20:58,010 you don't immediately believe that maybe 317 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:01,100 the drug is causing an additional 318 00:21:08,740 --> 00:21:05,330 problem so even if there were some sort 319 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:08,750 of a system of reporting adverse events 320 00:21:14,860 --> 00:21:11,690 there is no guarantee that it would be 321 00:21:19,510 --> 00:21:14,870 could be efficient and in fact some 322 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:19,520 observers have suggested that maybe 90% 323 00:21:26,830 --> 00:21:22,970 of the adverse effects of drugs are 324 00:21:29,290 --> 00:21:26,840 never reported to the authorities now 325 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:29,300 those were sins of omission 326 00:21:42,540 --> 00:21:39,460 those two clinical trials on the basis 327 00:21:46,090 --> 00:21:42,550 of which the FDA may approve a drug and 328 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:46,100 not of course the last data that we get 329 00:21:53,230 --> 00:21:49,450 about the effects of those drugs and 330 00:21:57,910 --> 00:21:53,240 John yo-yo our need is who has done a 331 00:22:04,650 --> 00:21:57,920 lot of statistical assessment of medical 332 00:22:06,159 --> 00:22:04,660 matters looked at the 35 most cited 333 00:22:10,989 --> 00:22:06,169 biomarker 334 00:22:16,959 --> 00:22:10,999 and he found that in only seven of those 335 00:22:20,409 --> 00:22:16,969 35 cases did later data confirmed what 336 00:22:25,349 --> 00:22:20,419 those in to initial clinical trials had 337 00:22:29,979 --> 00:22:25,359 claimed even if the clinical trials were 338 00:22:34,779 --> 00:22:29,989 valid there's always a problem because 339 00:22:38,139 --> 00:22:34,789 the clinical trials do not look at the 340 00:22:41,769 --> 00:22:38,149 people who will be treated with the drug 341 00:22:43,810 --> 00:22:41,779 after it has been approved they are part 342 00:22:46,930 --> 00:22:43,820 of that's inevitable and makes a lot of 343 00:22:49,810 --> 00:22:46,940 sense if you want to consider whether 344 00:22:52,209 --> 00:22:49,820 something lowers blood pressure you're 345 00:22:55,089 --> 00:22:52,219 going to do a clinical trial with people 346 00:22:57,219 --> 00:22:55,099 who have very high blood pressure it 347 00:23:00,070 --> 00:22:57,229 gives you the best chance of seeing 348 00:23:03,039 --> 00:23:00,080 whether the drug works so you try it out 349 00:23:05,619 --> 00:23:03,049 on people who's whose systolic is a 350 00:23:08,619 --> 00:23:05,629 hundred and eighty or 200 something like 351 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:08,629 that you find it works the drug is 352 00:23:16,060 --> 00:23:12,129 approved and then doctors prescribe it 353 00:23:18,909 --> 00:23:16,070 to people whose blood pressure may be a 354 00:23:22,299 --> 00:23:18,919 hundred and forty and not a hundred and 355 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:22,309 eighty or 200 so there's no guarantee 356 00:23:29,639 --> 00:23:26,330 from the clinical trial that those 357 00:23:33,269 --> 00:23:29,649 results can be transferred to the 358 00:23:37,029 --> 00:23:33,279 population that will actually be treated 359 00:23:42,039 --> 00:23:37,039 it's also the case that individual 360 00:23:46,209 --> 00:23:42,049 doctors can prescribe any approved drug 361 00:23:50,820 --> 00:23:46,219 for any condition not necessarily those 362 00:23:57,629 --> 00:23:50,830 that it's been approved for and a recent 363 00:24:01,989 --> 00:23:57,639 survey indicated that three-quarters of 364 00:24:06,159 --> 00:24:01,999 the off lay these off-label uses of 365 00:24:10,709 --> 00:24:06,169 drugs have no scientific evidence to 366 00:24:15,249 --> 00:24:10,719 back them up 20% of all prescriptions 367 00:24:18,729 --> 00:24:15,259 are written for conditions for which the 368 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:18,739 drug was not actually approved in the 369 00:24:22,490 --> 00:24:19,730 case of the 370 00:24:27,100 --> 00:24:22,500 psychotropic drugs for mental illnesses 371 00:24:31,120 --> 00:24:27,110 it's actually 30% one-third of the drugs 372 00:24:33,620 --> 00:24:31,130 antidepressants antipsychotics and so on 373 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:33,630 prescriptions are written by doctors 374 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:37,890 presumably up usually psychiatrists when 375 00:24:44,900 --> 00:24:41,010 that particular application of that drug 376 00:24:48,410 --> 00:24:44,910 was never approved and I've already 377 00:24:51,020 --> 00:24:48,420 mentioned that correlations a mistake 378 00:24:56,650 --> 00:24:51,030 and should not be mistaken for causes 379 00:25:02,180 --> 00:24:56,660 but the the terminology risk factor is 380 00:25:05,930 --> 00:25:02,190 very sneaky it makes you think that a 381 00:25:08,410 --> 00:25:05,940 risk factor actually is a risk but it 382 00:25:14,060 --> 00:25:08,420 isn't the risk factor is purely a 383 00:25:16,850 --> 00:25:14,070 statistical Association another sin of 384 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:16,860 common sin of comission is that when the 385 00:25:23,300 --> 00:25:20,730 results of clinical trials are reported 386 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:23,310 and remember that the people who do the 387 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:26,730 clinical trials are the drug companies 388 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:30,530 or organizations contract research 389 00:25:36,110 --> 00:25:33,090 organizations hired by the drug 390 00:25:38,810 --> 00:25:36,120 companies to do the trials so they'll 391 00:25:42,410 --> 00:25:38,820 present the data in in what looks like 392 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:42,420 the most impressive way so you found 393 00:25:47,870 --> 00:25:45,330 something that lowers the mortality from 394 00:25:50,690 --> 00:25:47,880 a particular condition from four per 395 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:50,700 hundred to two per hundred and you 396 00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:54,210 report this as a 50% reduction in 397 00:26:01,190 --> 00:25:57,570 mortality well I mean who is not going 398 00:26:06,770 --> 00:26:01,200 to buy a drug that reduces your risk of 399 00:26:10,100 --> 00:26:06,780 dying by 50% but it doesn't it reduces 400 00:26:14,570 --> 00:26:10,110 it by two percent in this case and in 401 00:26:18,170 --> 00:26:14,580 that case the possible side effects may 402 00:26:21,830 --> 00:26:18,180 be worse than the potential reduction of 403 00:26:24,650 --> 00:26:21,840 risk so we have sins of omission and 404 00:26:29,810 --> 00:26:24,660 Commission in the approval of drugs and 405 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:29,820 there are wages of sin in the 1950s to 406 00:26:36,830 --> 00:26:33,090 nineteen sixties to prescription drug 407 00:26:41,290 --> 00:26:36,840 were withdrawn from use in the 1970s 408 00:26:44,390 --> 00:26:41,300 another - in the 1980s five after 409 00:26:50,030 --> 00:26:44,400 accelerated approval was introduced in 410 00:26:53,230 --> 00:26:50,040 the 1990s 15 drugs were were withdrawn 411 00:26:56,900 --> 00:26:53,240 had to be withdrawn and in the 2000s 412 00:27:00,530 --> 00:26:56,910 twenty six drugs had to be withdrawn and 413 00:27:03,650 --> 00:27:00,540 what's more the time between approval 414 00:27:05,090 --> 00:27:03,660 and withdrawal has been getting shorter 415 00:27:08,540 --> 00:27:05,100 and shorter 416 00:27:11,360 --> 00:27:08,550 the anti-diabetic rezulin was on the 417 00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:11,370 market for only three years before it 418 00:27:18,650 --> 00:27:14,850 was withdrawn the antibiotic racks are 419 00:27:22,820 --> 00:27:18,660 for two years redux to suppress your 420 00:27:26,300 --> 00:27:22,830 appetite was available for only 21 421 00:27:30,670 --> 00:27:26,310 months a calcium channel blocker lasted 422 00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:30,680 a year and analgesic eleven months a 423 00:27:38,060 --> 00:27:33,690 gastrointestinal drug only ten months 424 00:27:41,990 --> 00:27:38,070 now remember there is no systematic way 425 00:27:44,510 --> 00:27:42,000 of gathering information about what a 426 00:27:48,010 --> 00:27:44,520 drug actually does after it's been 427 00:27:53,180 --> 00:27:48,020 approved for so for something to be 428 00:27:55,750 --> 00:27:53,190 withdrawn so soon after approval there 429 00:27:59,960 --> 00:27:55,760 must have been truly horrendous 430 00:28:04,760 --> 00:27:59,970 incidence of side effects and fatalities 431 00:28:08,350 --> 00:28:04,770 in order to produce the evidence for the 432 00:28:16,850 --> 00:28:13,340 one of the other thins that's connected 433 00:28:21,270 --> 00:28:16,860 with drugs is the terminology of side 434 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:23,200 [Music] 435 00:28:28,910 --> 00:28:26,610 side effect sounds as though it is 436 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:28,920 something doesn't always occur is 437 00:28:38,870 --> 00:28:34,170 typically negligible and so on but any 438 00:28:42,470 --> 00:28:38,880 given drug has many effects and one of 439 00:28:46,100 --> 00:28:42,480 the indications of that is the penchant 440 00:28:49,870 --> 00:28:46,110 the drug companies have increasingly to 441 00:28:52,490 --> 00:28:49,880 reposition drugs what does that mean 442 00:28:57,140 --> 00:28:52,500 once the drug has been approved its 443 00:29:00,050 --> 00:28:57,150 approved for a particular condition drug 444 00:29:03,350 --> 00:29:00,060 companies are keen to get it approved to 445 00:29:05,470 --> 00:29:03,360 treat other things also because getting 446 00:29:08,420 --> 00:29:05,480 that approval is quicker and cheaper 447 00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:08,430 because after a drug has been once 448 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:13,770 approved its regarded as safe and so you 449 00:29:18,590 --> 00:29:15,810 don't have to prove that again if it's 450 00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:18,600 going to be repositioned for something 451 00:29:27,710 --> 00:29:22,370 else you've probably all seen ads for 452 00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:27,720 cymbalta on television it was originally 453 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:31,410 approved to treat anxiety and depression 454 00:29:38,020 --> 00:29:35,250 and peripheral neuropathy loss of 455 00:29:42,110 --> 00:29:38,030 feeling in the extremities and 456 00:29:44,690 --> 00:29:42,120 fibromyalgia peculiarly enough all at 457 00:29:49,070 --> 00:29:44,700 the same dosage even though those are 458 00:29:52,220 --> 00:29:49,080 very different conditions still the 459 00:29:55,130 --> 00:29:52,230 company was looking for better sales and 460 00:29:58,940 --> 00:29:55,140 so they successfully repositioned it 461 00:30:03,710 --> 00:29:58,950 under a different name to treat stress 462 00:30:08,050 --> 00:30:03,720 urinary incontinence now it's not only 463 00:30:11,890 --> 00:30:08,060 the drugs have many different effects 464 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:11,900 they can have mutually contradictory 465 00:30:20,570 --> 00:30:15,410 effects for instance for this cymbalta 466 00:30:23,890 --> 00:30:20,580 duloxetine the company lists as possible 467 00:30:28,430 --> 00:30:23,900 side effects increased urination and 468 00:30:31,370 --> 00:30:28,440 also difficulty urinating it may cause 469 00:30:34,750 --> 00:30:31,380 constipation or it may cause diarrhea 470 00:30:38,370 --> 00:30:34,760 and it may cause agitation 471 00:30:43,870 --> 00:30:38,380 or it may cause drowsiness and 472 00:30:47,549 --> 00:30:43,880 unresponsiveness so side-effects is a 473 00:30:51,070 --> 00:30:47,559 thoroughly misleading term side 474 00:30:53,409 --> 00:30:51,080 indicates implies that it's unintended 475 00:30:54,730 --> 00:30:53,419 that it's atypical that it's not 476 00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:54,740 important 477 00:31:00,960 --> 00:30:57,650 but the drug doesn't know what it's 478 00:31:05,530 --> 00:31:00,970 intended to do it just carries out its 479 00:31:09,730 --> 00:31:05,540 chemical action a side effect sounds as 480 00:31:13,210 --> 00:31:09,740 though it showed up only infrequently in 481 00:31:16,990 --> 00:31:13,220 only a few people but that's in the 482 00:31:19,780 --> 00:31:17,000 typically short clinical trials if 483 00:31:23,169 --> 00:31:19,790 something shows up as a side effect in 484 00:31:26,110 --> 00:31:23,179 six months then you may be pretty sure 485 00:31:30,130 --> 00:31:26,120 that when people start taking this for 486 00:31:35,100 --> 00:31:30,140 years that those side effects and others 487 00:31:42,659 --> 00:31:38,650 what we are doing nowadays with chronic 488 00:31:48,580 --> 00:31:42,669 diseases is we're actually treating 489 00:31:52,210 --> 00:31:48,590 symptom free illness a very informative 490 00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:52,220 book by jerry jeremy green who is an MD 491 00:32:00,490 --> 00:31:55,970 and a medical historian book is called 492 00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:00,500 prescribing by numbers relates how over 493 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:02,410 the course of the last half century 494 00:32:12,340 --> 00:32:06,730 approximately lab tests have come to 495 00:32:15,210 --> 00:32:12,350 supersede clinical examination and I'm 496 00:32:19,030 --> 00:32:15,220 sure that you're all familiar with the 497 00:32:21,370 --> 00:32:19,040 mantra know your numbers know what your 498 00:32:26,409 --> 00:32:21,380 cholesterol level is your blood sugar 499 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:26,419 your blood pressure and so on now it 500 00:32:34,770 --> 00:32:31,010 used to be that blood pressure that was 501 00:32:39,270 --> 00:32:34,780 too high hypertension would be diagnosed 502 00:32:42,580 --> 00:32:39,280 because people felt ill in some way 503 00:32:46,710 --> 00:32:42,590 severe headache dizziness blurred vision 504 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:46,720 chest pain that's not the modern 505 00:32:51,340 --> 00:32:47,810 diagnosis 506 00:32:54,370 --> 00:32:51,350 of hypertension you may have none of 507 00:32:57,460 --> 00:32:54,380 those symptoms you can feel perfectly 508 00:33:01,060 --> 00:32:57,470 well you can climb stairs without 509 00:33:04,410 --> 00:33:01,070 getting out of breath but if your blood 510 00:33:08,350 --> 00:33:04,420 pressure is greater than 140 over 90 511 00:33:15,300 --> 00:33:08,360 you're told you have hypertension and 512 00:33:21,730 --> 00:33:18,810 not long after measuring blood pressure 513 00:33:25,540 --> 00:33:21,740 became routine because the technique 514 00:33:28,690 --> 00:33:25,550 became easy there was a rule of thumb in 515 00:33:31,300 --> 00:33:28,700 the medical profession that the normal 516 00:33:37,030 --> 00:33:31,310 blood pressure is your age plus a 517 00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:37,040 hundred I looked at a bunch of datasets 518 00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:40,130 from different sources and I think that 519 00:33:46,330 --> 00:33:43,330 those actually show it's more like 520 00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:46,340 two-thirds or three-quarters of your age 521 00:33:57,570 --> 00:33:53,810 plus a hundred is normal with healthy 522 00:34:00,370 --> 00:33:57,580 individuals who don't feel any illness 523 00:34:04,180 --> 00:34:00,380 but here's what the National Institutes 524 00:34:06,190 --> 00:34:04,190 of Health says normal blood pressure is 525 00:34:11,100 --> 00:34:06,200 lower than a hundred and twenty over 526 00:34:14,260 --> 00:34:11,110 eighty most of the time in other words 527 00:34:17,500 --> 00:34:14,270 approximately twenty to thirty year old 528 00:34:21,580 --> 00:34:17,510 a person normally has in blood pressure 529 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:21,590 high blood pressure hypertension is a 530 00:34:27,070 --> 00:34:24,410 hundred and forty over ninety most or 531 00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:27,080 above most of the time and if you're 532 00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:30,170 between those two you have pre 533 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:36,410 hypertension and very helpfully the NIH 534 00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:39,010 tells you if you have pre hypertension 535 00:34:44,490 --> 00:34:43,130 you are more likely to develop high 536 00:34:51,460 --> 00:34:44,500 blood pressure 537 00:34:55,060 --> 00:34:51,470 normally with age that's absolutely true 538 00:34:58,090 --> 00:34:55,070 if you have pre hypertension all you've 539 00:35:00,070 --> 00:34:58,100 got to do is live a bit longer and 540 00:35:03,340 --> 00:35:00,080 you'll have 541 00:35:06,370 --> 00:35:03,350 full-blown hypertension the result of 542 00:35:09,910 --> 00:35:06,380 this definition is that about one in 543 00:35:14,620 --> 00:35:09,920 three adults in the United States is 544 00:35:18,670 --> 00:35:14,630 said to have hypertension here's a graph 545 00:35:23,670 --> 00:35:18,680 that that shows that situation blood 546 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:26,950 120 or below is said to be normal and 547 00:35:34,930 --> 00:35:30,050 that is the blood pressure that on 548 00:35:38,590 --> 00:35:34,940 average 20 to 30 year olds have by the 549 00:35:42,220 --> 00:35:38,600 time most people are around 60 years of 550 00:35:47,820 --> 00:35:42,230 age they're at a hundred and forty and 551 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:47,830 they're about to get hypertension 552 00:35:53,970 --> 00:35:51,050 seventy five to eighty percent of 553 00:35:58,780 --> 00:35:53,980 American seniors under this definition 554 00:36:02,910 --> 00:35:58,790 have hypertension they are sick in the 555 00:36:06,550 --> 00:36:02,920 absence of any symptoms at all and 556 00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:06,560 present practice is to prescribe drugs 557 00:36:20,080 --> 00:36:15,410 for them for lifelong use half a century 558 00:36:23,230 --> 00:36:20,090 ago diuretics were first introduced to 559 00:36:26,650 --> 00:36:23,240 treat high blood pressure which at that 560 00:36:30,130 --> 00:36:26,660 time was if people had severe headaches 561 00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:30,140 dizziness that sort of thing at that 562 00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:36,170 time cardiologists wondered whether that 563 00:36:42,330 --> 00:36:39,770 was a good idea pointing out that the 564 00:36:46,810 --> 00:36:42,340 increase of blood pressure with age 565 00:36:50,110 --> 00:36:46,820 could be an attempt to compensate for 566 00:36:54,190 --> 00:36:50,120 other effects of aging arteries and 567 00:36:57,910 --> 00:36:54,200 veins become less flexible arteries tend 568 00:37:01,990 --> 00:36:57,920 to narrow a little bit but we want blood 569 00:37:06,190 --> 00:37:02,000 to get to the extremities so it may take 570 00:37:08,710 --> 00:37:06,200 more pressure to send it there and the 571 00:37:12,510 --> 00:37:08,720 some of the cardiologists at that time 572 00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:12,520 suggested that the general administer 573 00:37:19,980 --> 00:37:16,930 of drugs to reduce blood pressure was a 574 00:37:28,500 --> 00:37:19,990 very dangerous experiment being carried 575 00:37:32,190 --> 00:37:28,510 out on the population so I'm suggesting 576 00:37:36,900 --> 00:37:32,200 that the drug center treatment of 577 00:37:43,890 --> 00:37:36,910 chronic ailments treats normal aging as 578 00:37:46,980 --> 00:37:43,900 a disease and it prescribes lifelong 579 00:37:51,780 --> 00:37:46,990 drug use irrespective of what the side 580 00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:51,790 effects are and in absence of any valid 581 00:38:01,200 --> 00:37:55,930 evidence of benefit in terms of quality 582 00:38:05,370 --> 00:38:01,210 of life or extension of lifespan which 583 00:38:08,820 --> 00:38:05,380 reminds you of the statement the 584 00:38:14,099 --> 00:38:08,830 operation was successful but patients 585 00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:14,109 died now about a hundred years ago more 586 00:38:22,609 --> 00:38:16,690 than a hundred years ago the Food and 587 00:38:26,070 --> 00:38:22,619 Drug Administration was founded because 588 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:26,080 in the nineteenth century and by the end 589 00:38:35,780 --> 00:38:29,890 of the 19th century there were quite a 590 00:38:39,450 --> 00:38:35,790 lot of people selling quack remedies and 591 00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:39,460 at that time people talked about the 592 00:38:48,270 --> 00:38:43,570 snake oil salesman peddling panaceas and 593 00:38:50,660 --> 00:38:48,280 Alex's of life I'm suggesting that in 594 00:38:54,530 --> 00:38:50,670 terms of the treatment of chronic 595 00:38:58,560 --> 00:38:54,540 ailments medicine has regressed a 596 00:39:02,510 --> 00:38:58,570 century or more and we now again have 597 00:39:07,050 --> 00:39:02,520 snake oil salesman peddling panaceas and 598 00:39:09,660 --> 00:39:07,060 Alexia's of life except in those days it 599 00:39:13,710 --> 00:39:09,670 was individuals doing the peddling and 600 00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:13,720 now it's corporations pharmaceutical 601 00:39:21,150 --> 00:39:18,130 companies but then again that may not be 602 00:39:23,579 --> 00:39:21,160 so different because nowadays we've 603 00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:23,589 learned also that corporations are 604 00:39:39,790 --> 00:39:38,170 thank you for listening so politely we 605 00:39:42,190 --> 00:39:39,800 do have time for questions are there any 606 00:39:43,359 --> 00:39:42,200 questions for Henry if you if there are 607 00:39:45,339 --> 00:39:43,369 a number of questions could you please 608 00:39:46,300 --> 00:39:45,349 come up if not I'll do my best to kind 609 00:39:48,990 --> 00:39:46,310 of run around and give you the 610 00:39:56,650 --> 00:39:49,000 microphone that I'm holding in my hand 611 00:39:58,180 --> 00:39:56,660 whoops thank you good morning Henry do 612 00:40:02,319 --> 00:39:58,190 you know anything about the difference 613 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:02,329 between drugs that are what do they call 614 00:40:05,740 --> 00:40:03,770 them you know there's the regular drug 615 00:40:08,650 --> 00:40:05,750 and then there's the prescription 616 00:40:10,089 --> 00:40:08,660 they're generic because some of them I 617 00:40:13,390 --> 00:40:10,099 understand I don't know if that's true 618 00:40:19,750 --> 00:40:13,400 are made in China and do we know what's 619 00:40:22,690 --> 00:40:19,760 even in them if it is only the active 620 00:40:25,690 --> 00:40:22,700 ingredient then there's absolutely no 621 00:40:28,059 --> 00:40:25,700 difference but the thing that people 622 00:40:31,329 --> 00:40:28,069 worry about is that with drugs 623 00:40:35,290 --> 00:40:31,339 manufactured overseas there isn't the 624 00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:35,300 same sort of care taken about what goes 625 00:40:45,260 --> 00:40:38,930 in there in the same way of monitoring 626 00:40:52,550 --> 00:40:49,310 there shouldn't be any difference and in 627 00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:52,560 many cases now generics are actually 628 00:41:01,700 --> 00:40:55,050 made by the same people who made the 629 00:41:05,810 --> 00:41:01,710 prescription drug thank you for a very 630 00:41:09,380 --> 00:41:05,820 exciting talk I want to know the issue 631 00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:09,390 of corporations peddling snake oil in 632 00:41:15,050 --> 00:41:12,210 the name of drugs how do we say 633 00:41:18,020 --> 00:41:15,060 political issue and a social issue of 634 00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:18,030 people are suffering what can an 635 00:41:25,310 --> 00:41:22,290 organization like sse do in terms of 636 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:25,320 public education to deal with this kind 637 00:41:30,350 --> 00:41:27,330 of a problem it's a worldwide problem 638 00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:30,360 not just in the US your thoughts will be 639 00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:34,170 appreciated thank you very much I mean 640 00:41:40,670 --> 00:41:37,650 this is a problem that is general for 641 00:41:44,030 --> 00:41:40,680 people in academia as well as in in this 642 00:41:51,140 --> 00:41:44,040 society how do you get people to notice 643 00:41:53,630 --> 00:41:51,150 what the evidence is and you know these 644 00:41:56,210 --> 00:41:53,640 things have developed very slowly one of 645 00:42:02,590 --> 00:41:56,220 the things that I found very interesting 646 00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:02,600 was that some decades ago the CEOs of 647 00:42:09,310 --> 00:42:05,370 pharmaceutical companies were people who 648 00:42:15,740 --> 00:42:09,320 had come up through the technical side 649 00:42:18,040 --> 00:42:15,750 when it was first suggested that drug 650 00:42:21,850 --> 00:42:18,050 companies should be allowed to advertise 651 00:42:27,140 --> 00:42:21,860 direct to consumers as we see nowadays 652 00:42:30,700 --> 00:42:27,150 the CEOs of the drug companies said that 653 00:42:36,410 --> 00:42:34,400 nowadays the CEOs of drug companies are 654 00:42:40,250 --> 00:42:36,420 typically people who have come up 655 00:42:43,430 --> 00:42:40,260 through the marketing and sales side so 656 00:42:47,930 --> 00:42:43,440 the whole culture of drug companies has 657 00:42:54,410 --> 00:42:47,940 changed and again this is something that 658 00:42:57,410 --> 00:42:54,420 has been documented but ignored Marcia 659 00:42:58,340 --> 00:42:57,420 Angell who was an editor of the New 660 00:43:02,930 --> 00:42:58,350 England Journal 661 00:43:06,500 --> 00:43:02,940 of Medicine about eight or ten years ago 662 00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:06,510 published a book called how the drug 663 00:43:13,660 --> 00:43:10,290 companies deceive us and what to do 664 00:43:17,270 --> 00:43:13,670 about it now there was a you know a 665 00:43:20,900 --> 00:43:17,280 knowledgeable prominent voice that has 666 00:43:24,590 --> 00:43:20,910 had no effect and part of the reason of 667 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:24,600 course is that the drug companies make 668 00:43:33,170 --> 00:43:27,690 such big profits that they can support 669 00:43:37,330 --> 00:43:33,180 many congressional campaigns I wish I 670 00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:39,680 well thank you very much for a very 671 00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:42,690 interesting talk you carefully steered 672 00:43:47,780 --> 00:43:45,210 clear of the whole system-wide health 673 00:43:50,290 --> 00:43:47,790 care debate which is going on right now 674 00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:50,300 costing us a bloody fortune but 675 00:43:57,050 --> 00:43:54,210 lifestyle issues seem to be something 676 00:43:58,730 --> 00:43:57,060 that doctors are either ignorant of or 677 00:44:01,460 --> 00:43:58,740 they don't get any kickbacks from that 678 00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:01,470 so they simply don't often suggest them 679 00:44:05,330 --> 00:44:03,570 and they seem to be probably the most 680 00:44:08,350 --> 00:44:05,340 beneficial when it when it come you know 681 00:44:11,690 --> 00:44:08,360 diet and exercise fresh air and so on 682 00:44:13,820 --> 00:44:11,700 but there also are some legitimate basic 683 00:44:16,370 --> 00:44:13,830 research being done like genetic 684 00:44:17,210 --> 00:44:16,380 engineering Cindy Kenyon at University 685 00:44:20,270 --> 00:44:17,220 of California 686 00:44:22,940 --> 00:44:20,280 Aubrey gray speaking of immortality that 687 00:44:28,220 --> 00:44:22,950 type of thing any comments about about 688 00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:28,230 those well it's true that research money 689 00:44:33,650 --> 00:44:30,930 is not available for those things 690 00:44:37,580 --> 00:44:33,660 because other things are more flashy and 691 00:44:42,140 --> 00:44:37,590 and attracted Colin Campbell wrote a 692 00:44:45,620 --> 00:44:42,150 book the China Study in which he talked 693 00:44:48,710 --> 00:44:45,630 about the relationship of diet to cancer 694 00:44:52,850 --> 00:44:48,720 on the basis of work that he himself had 695 00:44:56,090 --> 00:44:52,860 done and he mentions that the only way 696 00:45:00,410 --> 00:44:56,100 he was able to get this work funded was 697 00:45:05,990 --> 00:45:00,420 by calling it studies of cancer and not 698 00:45:09,170 --> 00:45:06,000 studies of nutrition or diet so it's 699 00:45:12,110 --> 00:45:09,180 also the case I think that it's very 700 00:45:17,090 --> 00:45:12,120 difficult to get good data 701 00:45:20,030 --> 00:45:17,100 about lifestyle issues because you have 702 00:45:23,180 --> 00:45:20,040 to depend very much on self-reporting by 703 00:45:24,950 --> 00:45:23,190 people of how they feel and even if 704 00:45:31,850 --> 00:45:24,960 you're honest about it you're not always 705 00:45:33,770 --> 00:45:31,860 right about about what's going on well 706 00:45:36,260 --> 00:45:33,780 as a physician who worked at a heart 707 00:45:39,020 --> 00:45:36,270 hospital with nutrition exercise and 708 00:45:41,770 --> 00:45:39,030 stress reduction and did not believe 709 00:45:46,430 --> 00:45:41,780 that adult onset diabetes is a disease 710 00:45:48,890 --> 00:45:46,440 but rather is a symptom of our society I 711 00:45:51,970 --> 00:45:48,900 found that the medical my medical peers 712 00:45:54,740 --> 00:45:51,980 did not believe what was happening that 713 00:45:58,370 --> 00:45:54,750 that non drug treatment would be so 714 00:46:01,400 --> 00:45:58,380 effective and it actually is a solution 715 00:46:05,390 --> 00:46:01,410 to the multibillion-dollar healthcare 716 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:05,400 crisis ran in that mid-90s the only 717 00:46:09,260 --> 00:46:07,290 education I could receive was through 718 00:46:11,180 --> 00:46:09,270 pharmaceutical companies so I dropped 719 00:46:16,900 --> 00:46:11,190 out of CME or continuing medical 720 00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:16,910 education the pharmaceutical companies 721 00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:20,010 brainwash physicians and most of them 722 00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:21,810 really just don't believe it or don't 723 00:46:28,790 --> 00:46:23,970 know what's going on so it is a 724 00:46:32,450 --> 00:46:28,800 grassroots issue yeah and you know we 725 00:46:35,300 --> 00:46:32,460 hear the statistics that so much of 726 00:46:38,300 --> 00:46:35,310 health care costs are spent in the last 727 00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:38,310 year or two of life and that older 728 00:46:43,940 --> 00:46:40,170 people are being given so many 729 00:46:47,750 --> 00:46:43,950 medications we could cut the overall 730 00:46:50,660 --> 00:46:47,760 cost of health care dramatically by 731 00:46:56,810 --> 00:46:50,670 stopping doing things that don't do us 732 00:46:59,750 --> 00:46:56,820 any good Henry that was a splendid talk 733 00:47:03,940 --> 00:46:59,760 thank you very much I just want to say 734 00:47:07,370 --> 00:47:03,950 that we are not helpless in the face of 735 00:47:10,580 --> 00:47:07,380 the corporation's the pharmaceutical 736 00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:10,590 companies a couple of years ago there 737 00:47:15,770 --> 00:47:13,410 were two international studies which 738 00:47:19,070 --> 00:47:15,780 really flew under the radar screen 739 00:47:23,180 --> 00:47:19,080 pretty much of the profession showing 740 00:47:23,750 --> 00:47:23,190 that with attention to diet exercise and 741 00:47:28,340 --> 00:47:23,760 stress man 742 00:47:30,830 --> 00:47:28,350 and stopping smoking three force all 743 00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:30,840 heart disease could be eliminated from 744 00:47:38,210 --> 00:47:34,410 this culture and also two-thirds of all 745 00:47:43,010 --> 00:47:38,220 cancers eliminated prevented this is 746 00:47:46,730 --> 00:47:43,020 astonishing stop and when we grope for 747 00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:46,740 what we can do it's already clear you 748 00:47:51,110 --> 00:47:49,650 know that we have potent options and 749 00:47:55,460 --> 00:47:51,120 they're so potent as a matter of fact 750 00:47:57,710 --> 00:47:55,470 that they simply aren't noticed and but 751 00:47:59,990 --> 00:47:57,720 my point is that you know we we are not 752 00:48:04,790 --> 00:48:00,000 helpless I mean we really do have some 753 00:48:08,810 --> 00:48:04,800 big guns to play and the the problem is 754 00:48:11,240 --> 00:48:08,820 to spread that message to everyone who 755 00:48:15,410 --> 00:48:11,250 can benefit from it and there are 756 00:48:20,570 --> 00:48:15,420 powerful forces that oppose it you know 757 00:48:24,130 --> 00:48:20,580 a known side effect of statins is muscle 758 00:48:28,550 --> 00:48:24,140 weakness and it's known also that 759 00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:28,560 statins not only affect the making of 760 00:48:35,540 --> 00:48:32,010 cholesterol but they also affect the 761 00:48:40,820 --> 00:48:35,550 generation of Rubik we known known also 762 00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:40,830 as coenzyme q10 and coenzyme q10 is an 763 00:48:47,900 --> 00:48:44,930 essential ingredient in every energy 764 00:48:53,170 --> 00:48:47,910 producing reaction in every cell in our 765 00:48:57,190 --> 00:48:53,180 bodies a friend of mine who is a 766 00:48:59,570 --> 00:48:57,200 biochemist approached one of the large 767 00:49:02,870 --> 00:48:59,580 pharmaceutical companies and said look 768 00:49:05,930 --> 00:49:02,880 you should market something you can call 769 00:49:08,390 --> 00:49:05,940 a super statin you add calculon's I'm 770 00:49:10,970 --> 00:49:08,400 cute into it and you reduce the side 771 00:49:14,180 --> 00:49:10,980 effects and the technical people in the 772 00:49:17,720 --> 00:49:14,190 company were very enthusiastic but it 773 00:49:20,300 --> 00:49:17,730 was vetoed by the legal department who 774 00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:20,310 said that if we start doing this we will 775 00:49:30,420 --> 00:49:24,090 be admitting that we knew that it has 776 00:49:35,200 --> 00:49:33,400 hi Henry my name is Eric shultiess and 777 00:49:39,010 --> 00:49:35,210 I'm from Leiden University Medical 778 00:49:40,570 --> 00:49:39,020 Center there's something going on in the 779 00:49:42,370 --> 00:49:40,580 pharmaceutical industry now there's kind 780 00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:42,380 of a crisis that a lot of the 781 00:49:47,970 --> 00:49:45,170 blockbuster patents are coming to an end 782 00:49:50,380 --> 00:49:47,980 and in the last 20 or 30 years it's been 783 00:49:52,390 --> 00:49:50,390 impossible for the pharmaceutical 784 00:49:54,970 --> 00:49:52,400 industry to replicate the kind of 785 00:49:58,330 --> 00:49:54,980 research that translates into 786 00:50:00,460 --> 00:49:58,340 IP and so I think even within five or 787 00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:00,470 ten years their pharmaceutical industry 788 00:50:04,599 --> 00:50:03,290 is looking at a major downsizing and 789 00:50:07,750 --> 00:50:04,609 it's already beginning to happen I know 790 00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:07,760 with the people that I work with so I'm 791 00:50:10,690 --> 00:50:08,690 just wondering if you could comment 792 00:50:13,240 --> 00:50:10,700 maybe on what's going on in the last 20 793 00:50:17,230 --> 00:50:13,250 years well I think that the drive to 794 00:50:20,190 --> 00:50:17,240 reposition drugs is one indication that 795 00:50:26,250 --> 00:50:20,200 the companies are looking for ways to 796 00:50:29,380 --> 00:50:26,260 keep their their business going I was 797 00:50:34,859 --> 00:50:29,390 interested quite recently to see that 798 00:50:39,430 --> 00:50:34,869 cialis has been repositioned to treat 799 00:50:42,250 --> 00:50:39,440 enlarged prostate for example I think 800 00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:42,260 one of the growth areas that they're 801 00:50:52,140 --> 00:50:47,810 going into is vaccines and one of the 802 00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:52,150 disasters of that already is Gardasil 803 00:51:02,470 --> 00:50:56,810 Gardasil is a vaccine against a few 804 00:51:05,050 --> 00:51:02,480 strains of human papilloma virus which 805 00:51:12,160 --> 00:51:05,060 was found which were found to be 806 00:51:16,380 --> 00:51:12,170 correlated with cervical cancer and the 807 00:51:19,240 --> 00:51:16,390 FDA approved this vaccine which is very 808 00:51:23,589 --> 00:51:19,250 expensive and there have already been 809 00:51:27,870 --> 00:51:23,599 something like 30,000 negative effects 810 00:51:31,359 --> 00:51:27,880 of of Gardasil and you may recall that 811 00:51:34,420 --> 00:51:31,369 people have been enthusiastically 812 00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:34,430 suggesting that every girl be vaccinated 813 00:51:42,650 --> 00:51:38,450 by that Governor Perry did that in in 814 00:51:45,170 --> 00:51:42,660 Texas for a while so I'm afraid the 815 00:51:47,930 --> 00:51:45,180 one of the things that's happening is 816 00:51:52,340 --> 00:51:47,940 that the drug companies are looking to 817 00:51:55,070 --> 00:51:52,350 more and more unwarranted ways of 818 00:51:58,400 --> 00:51:55,080 selling things and they do it because 819 00:52:01,250 --> 00:51:58,410 they're able to advertise to the general 820 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:01,260 public and what parent of course 821 00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:03,090 wouldn't want to guard their daughter 822 00:52:09,620 --> 00:52:06,690 against cervical cancer this happened by 823 00:52:12,080 --> 00:52:09,630 the way at the same time as for about 20 824 00:52:20,240 --> 00:52:12,090 years the incidence of cervical cancer